Eleven of twelve healthcare investment banks could not tell me what their origination costs them or what it returns. Take that same question to your own desk for the next ninety seconds.

Pull your last hundred target names. How many hours went in, how many survived ownership and contact verification, what is your cost per usable contact. If you cannot produce that in under a minute, you are the thirteenth firm in this study and the rest of this issue is about you.

I spent two months asking bankers one question: how does a name get onto your target list. The hours after the database export decide the outcome, and almost nobody prices them. No firm names, no banker names; the firms appear as shapes. Two of the bankers here subscribe to this newsletter.

12 FIRMS   |   10 BUY A DATABASE   |   7 SCRUB BY HAND   |   6 KILLED A PLAY   |   1 MEASURED IT

Method. Fifteen conversations with twenty-four plus professionals across twelve healthcare investment banks and M&A advisory firms, July through August 2026. Participants came through my own network, so treat this as directional. Counts refer to firms.

Everyone runs the same plays

The play

Firms

What it produces

Referral network: attorneys, accountants, wealth managers, other banks

5

Warm access to an owner, on a timetable you do not control

Conferences and the attendee list afterward

7

Names and a handshake. Conversion unmeasured everywhere

Commercial database screen

10

A large CSV, hundreds of rows or thousands

A manual scrub of that export before anyone calls

7

A far shorter list, built by hand, priced by nobody

Cold email at volume

6

The only play anyone called broken out loud

Firms naming the play as part of their current process, out of twelve; most run several at once. Referral counts only firms naming a standing referral network or program; a one-off warm path is not counted, and counting it would make six.

Ten of the twelve pay for at least one commercial database, and that supply side is consolidating under them. In August 2025 one vendor acquired a second sourcing platform and folded it into a third bought months earlier, as reported at the time, so several of these firms now may pay two line items to one company.

Four of the twelve refuse to cold-call on brand grounds. One MD called it a call center posture that burns the trusted-advisor position. Six run cold email anyway, and one called its own version spraying and praying.

The scrub is where it breaks

Seven of the twelve described the same failure in different words. A database returns rows with ownership blank. Which entity is the parent, who the right contact is, whether that person decides anything, whether the business is near a transaction at all. A person establishes it by hand.

Healthcare is unusually good at attaching a correct name to the wrong object: a location when the assignment needs the parent company, a professional entity when the economics sit in the MSO.

One associate put a number on it that nobody else could: four hours for fifty good contacts, on top of live deals. A VP elsewhere ran it and threw the output away.

It was never a usable work product. It's not repeatable. Definitely not repeatable. We'd have to do a ton of work to do it again.

Vice president, healthcare investment bank

FIT AND TIMING ARE TWO SEPARATE QUESTIONS

Ownership, size and geography leave public traces, so fit is knowable. The trigger for a transaction rarely leaves one. Make a strong fit score earn its own reason to call.

The category already has an incumbent, and nobody rates it

Two bankers reached for the same shelf when I asked who handles the scrub: an offshore research firm doing desktop work and list cleanup. One pays for it, the other calls it the standard move among the sponsors he covers, and neither is satisfied. On a recent pitch that shop handed back twelve precedent transactions marked relevant. Two were wrong, one an insurance company classified as a provider. He now reviews every line himself.

I have to. Because some of it's dog shit. No offense to them. Like someone is just like, why is this on here?

Managing director, healthcare services

His analysts are generalists rotating across three unrelated sectors a month, so whoever checks the healthcare list has never seen one. He checks it again.

Six of the twelve have already killed something

What they tried

Why it died

Analyst-built prospect list from scratch

Too noisy, too slow, and never repeatable

Outsourced outbound lead generation

Leads arrived with no read on size or structure

Emailing a national conference attendee list

A few hundred sends. Two replies, one asking to be removed

Event-signal data: court records, loan maturities, vital records

Rejected. The trigger for a transaction is almost never in a database

Deep per-company enrichment

The banker wanted more screened names at the same price

A funded business development function

Replaced by a measured referral channel and called unnecessary

One firm out of twelve could tell me what any of this costs

I asked every firm how many hours this takes and what it converts at. Eleven had an answer for neither. We never calculated it. We don't track the stats. And from the most candid: we don't do a sophisticated job of return on investment, because one closed deal always seems to pay for everything.

Origination is the only work in the building with no fee attached, so it never gets measured. What goes unmeasured goes unbudgeted, and on your desk that shows up as the scrub you run at nine at night with nothing to bill it to. You cannot defend a line item you have never priced.

THE ELEVEN

Origination cost is unmeasured, so it competes against the CRM renewal for budget and loses.

THE ONE

Measures its referral channel in both directions, then buys against that number.

That firm shut down its funded business development budget and replaced it with a referral program with named partners plus one rule: close a deal, then go hard at every company in the country that looks like it. It named no commercial database at all. Its only stated constraint was a return hurdle on every dollar, so treat this as directional. The sequence is the part you can copy: price the channel, then spend against the number. It lines up with what I wrote about why a business development hire fails when the pipeline is built in the wrong order.

The second pass that works

Give your own second pass one job: kill rows. Four questions, in order, with the burden of proof on every name you keep. Anything still standing after all four you can hand a partner.

The question

What kills the row

Is it already owned?

A platform, health system or sponsor sits on the cap table

Is the website a legacy brand?

The brand is live and the entity behind it was absorbed years ago

Is the decision-maker still there?

The contact left, retired, or never held the authority the title implied

Does it fit the assignment?

Right specialty, wrong everything else for this buyer

If you are on the other side of this

Physician owners. You are hard to find on purpose. As of January 2026, 82 percent of practicing physicians work for a hospital or a corporate entity, according to the Physicians Advocacy Institute and Avalere, a figure carried independently in the trade press. The independent owners left are exactly who the tooling sees worst. Without a directory listing or a search presence, you are invisible to every process above.

Funds and platforms. The bank bringing you a deal runs a referral network, a database screen, and a human cleaning up under deadline. When a banker says a process was broadly marketed, ask how the list was built and who checked it. Here the honest answer was an analyst at night between two live deals. It is the capacity problem I wrote about in running a 2026 pipeline with 2020 headcount.

What I got wrong

I went into these conversations calling myself a partner and an advisory layer. No banker used that language back. They compared me to a database subscription, an offshore research firm, and the fully loaded cost of one more analyst. They were right and I was slow. This is a vendor category with an incumbent, a price band, and a line item next to the CRM renewal. Which is why i’m sneaking this i here if you’re paying attention. I am building an ‘analyst-in-a-box’. Check out maps.healthcaremai.com. Beta testing will start soon shoot me a note if you’re interested in being part of a small exclusive group. Anyway, that is where the last two months went. Two new clients arrived in the same window, both through a referral.

RUN IT ON YOUR LAST HUNDRED NAMES

Hours in, divided by names that survived ownership, fit and decision-maker checks. That is your cost per usable contact, the number eleven of twelve could not produce. Reply with yours.

If you would rather walk through it live, book a call.

-Shawn

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